Fortnite Token Chance is an independent fan calculator for Fortnite Treasure Hunt and Pirate Shop token odds. Enter a chest count and an assumed drop rate to see the modeled chance of at least one token, or how many chests a target probability would take. The site also includes a manual chest counter stored in your browser and an editable drop rate. Calculations run locally in your browser. This is not an Epic Games product, does not connect to Epic accounts, and does not issue or guarantee tokens. The default drop rate is a community-reported figure, not independently verified.
Players often see guaranteed-token claims or rumor drop rates presented as fact. This site was built to keep the math visible: you enter a chest count and an assumed drop rate, and the calculator shows a modeled probability instead of treating a rumor as a promise.